Global Economics

Why India’s Tortoise May Beat China’s Hare

India's Tortoise May Beat China's Hare (economics)

Intense attention is focused on India’s strengthening economic prospects. With good reason: in 2014, India’s GDP growth rate in real terms matched China’s, which is in decline, perhaps not only cyclically but secularly.

India china gdp growth

Moreover, for 2015 and 2016, the International Monetary Fund forecasts India’s growth actually will substantially exceed China’s.

As I argue in “Why India’s Tortoise May Beat China’s Hare,” my latest monthly column in Forbes, India will not overtake the size of the Chinese economy, the ‘second largest’ in the world, anytime soon.

However, there are good reasons to believe – many of which are not often examined in depth by even the shrewdest observers of emerging markets – that India is poised to seriously challenge China’s competitiveness in the global marketplace. And this is likely to happen far sooner than conventionally thought.

Like the fabled race between Aesop’s Tortoise and the Hare, slower but steadier may well produce the winner.

Editor: Derin Cag

About the author

Harry G. Broadman

Harry G. Broadman

Faculty Member of Johns Hopkins University, where he is Director of the Center on Global Enterprise and Emerging Markets and Senior Fellow at the Foreign Policy Institute. Broadman is also CEO and Managing Partner of Proa Global Partners LLC. He writes monthly columns for Forbes, Newsweek (Japan) and Gulf News.